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Bitcoin Hold’em, Vintage 78

The cryptocurrency is playing with its 78-week SMA line. BTCUSD now closed 3 straight weeks right on the line [+1 UPDATE]

Jump to the 2023-09-17 update ]

In last week’s post we raised the question whether Bitcoin was at a turning point. BTCUSD ended the week of August 14th down 10.56% from the prior week’s close, however, still above its 78-week SMA support line.

Since that post, traders of the cryptocurrency managed to keep the weekly closing price right above the 78-week SMA line for 2 additional weeks. The support streak now stands at 3 straight weeks. The same 78-week SMA line acted as a very close resistance line for 10 straight weeks from April to June, before it flipped sides and became support:

BTCUSD, weekly chart, overlaid with its 78-week SMA and 80-week SMA support lines

Zooming in:

BTCUSD, weekly chart, overlaid with its 78-week SMA and 80-week SMA support lines, zoom in

Looks like market participants are cooking something.

Whatever it is, we’ll be watching the price and the MA support lines.

2023-09-17 Update

Two additional weeks have gone by since we published this post and Bitcoin kept respecting the 78-week SMA line. The tally now stand at 5 straight weeks of honoring the line:

BTCUSD, weekly chart, overlaid with its 78-week SMA and 80-week SMA support lines

Zooming in:

BTCUSD, weekly chart, overlaid with its 78-week SMA and 80-week SMA support lines, zoom in

Note that Bitcoin opened last week just above the 80-week SMA. Will that be the new support?

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